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> I think that's true if 7nm progress is independent of 10nm, and the mistakes made with 10nm aren't also delaying 7nm

That is exactly what's happening



7nm was planned for 2017 as of 2014. Ouch.

https://www.tweaktown.com/news/41582/intel-to-hit-10nm-in-20...


That's just early optimism, as far as these things can be known from the outside, the process is fine very much unlike 10nm which was known to be broken for years even before Cannon Lake.




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